City of York Council (Logo)

Meeting:

Executive

Meeting date:

14 November 2024

Report of:

Debbie Mitchell

Director of Finance

Portfolio of:

Councillor Katie Lomas, Executive Member for Finance, Performance, Major Projects, Human Rights, Equality & Inclusion


2024/25 Finance and Performance Monitor 2


Subject of Report

 

1.           This report sets out the projected 2024/25 financial position and the performance position for the period covering 1 April 2024 to 30 September 2024. This is the second report of the financial year and assesses performance against budgets, including progress in delivering the Council’s savings programme.

 

2.           This report outlines the Council’s continued challenging financial position with a forecast overspend for 2024/25 of £2.7m which is a huge improvement on the c£11m forecast overspend we have previously seen at this stage in the financial year. There has also been an increase in the forecast for Adult Social Care, and the forecast also assumes we can release some earmarked reserves to offset the overall position.  

 

3.           However, this is still a forecast overspend and therefore, whilst it is incredibly positive that the position is much improved, there remains a great deal of work still to do. It remains clear that the Council cannot afford to keep spending at this level.  The general reserve is £6.9m and, whilst we have other earmarked reserves that we could call on if required, continued overspending will quickly see the Council exhaust its reserves. 

 

 

 

4.           As outlined in previous reports, the existing cost control measures remain in place, and further action is needed to bring spending down to an affordable level, both within the current financial year and over the next 3 years, to safeguard the Council’s financial resilience and stability. The impact that this work is having can be clearly seen in this latest forecast and the Council’s track record of delivering savings, along with robust financial management, provides a sound platform to continue to be able to deal with future challenges.

 

5.           If we continue to take action and make any difficult decisions now, this will ensure the future financial stability of the Council and that we can continue to provide services for our residents.  It is vital that mitigations are delivered, and the forecast overspend is reduced.

 

6.           The Council implemented a garden waste subscription scheme in August 2024 (this was charged on a pro-rata basis). In 2025, the garden waste subscription service will run for the full 40 week season for 40 weeks (operating from Monday 3rd March to Friday 5th December). The Council will contact subscribers early in the New Year to advise of the 2025 subscription fee and with instructions on how to purchase their licences. As this is before budget council it is necessary to agree the fee in advance. For the 2025/26 financial year, it is proposed that the charge for 2024/25 will be £49. This is expected to produce an additional £100k compared to the current fee which will support overall savings.   The service also hope to expand the subscription scheme in 2025 to some new build housing estates that were never previously served by a kerbside garden waste collection service (e.g. Langley Gate development etc).

 

7.           Local government continues to be in challenging times, with worsening performance in a number of sectors nationally. The majority of performance indicators chosen to support and monitor the Council Plan in York, continue to show a generally positive and stable trend against this difficult financial picture and shows the hard work from staff, partners and the city to tackle these challenges.

 

8.           This set of indicators are the high-level measurable element of our performance framework, and in newly available data up to Q2 there has been positive performance in areas such as; Health inequalities in wards where we have seen further improvements in the expected level of development in children at 2-2.5 years, the number of children in temporary accommodation continues to be lower than previous years, our building services indicators continue to show a positive direction of travel with a high percentage of repairs completed on first visit alongside the low number of void properties and an increasing percentage of dwellings with an energy rating in the A-C band in the EPC register, and the number of FOIs, EIRs, and Complaints responded to in-time show positive performance at responding to customers in timely manner.

 

9.           Alongside the Council plan indicators there are a number of areas of positive performance from across the Council. Nearly 39,000 eligible households in York have now subscribed to the new Garden Waste Subscription scheme, which is 55% of eligible households and above the initial target of 33,000 households. The cities Purple Flag Status was renewed in Summer 2024, recognising the high standards in safety, diversity, cleanliness and vibrancy and recent Tourism data is very positive and shows that hotel room occupancy was 85% in July and footfall in the city centre was over 750,000 visits in August. The Corporate Improvement Framework which builds on existing strengths with a view to continuous improvement being central to how the council operates has shown recent positive trends in the continued reduced spend on agency staff, a high percentage of FOIs, EIRs, and Complaints responded to in-time, and a wide variety of ideas received in response to the new staff ideas system.

 

10.        To support our most vulnerable residents we have been Preparing for statutory inspections such as any future CQC inspection of the Adult Social Care system in York. New performance management information has been made available to the service on waiting lists and timescales for assessments to help the service on its improvement journey, and there has been positive feedback from customers shown by the low numbers of complaints received in this area and improved Joint working, where there has been an increase this financial year in the number of people in receipt of adult social care packages that are jointly funded under Continuing Health Care or Vulnerable Person Unit provision by the NHS and CYC, to around 250 people.

 

11.        Population predictions and data from POPPI/PANSI show that there is going to be a higher % of older people and individuals with learning needs in York in forthcoming years. In response to this and other challenges, City of York Council has agreed Specialist housing for disabled adults or adults with learning disabilities where 14 new homes in Acomb to meet the need for specialist housing for disabled adults or adults with learning disabilities in the community have been agreed, and a new SEND Hub for children and young people with special educational needs at Clifton Children's Centre was approved in September. The hub will bring together professionals from education, health and social care to provide families with advice and support, reducing unnecessary assessments and waiting times, and help to tackle the rising requests for EHCP assessments in York (188 in the first 5 months of 2024-25) and the number of children and young people with an EHCP (1,436 at the end of June 2024).

 

12.        Over £2.4m has been secured to help fund a new 24/7 adults Mental health hub in York over the next two years, run by a team of NHS and volunteer staff, offering support with no referral required. This will help to tackle a number of areas; recent data shows a reduction in the number of suicides in York in the most recent three-year period, compared to the previous period, and the overall number of households in temporary accommodation in York has reduced during 2023-24 with York continuing to perform positively compared to benchmarked authorities. Childcare reforms have been announced and a report was presented to Executive in September 2024 on the commissioning of new and expanded places for childcare reforms to help parents with early years childcare and provide more children with access to high quality early years education. In 2023, KS4 data showed strong performance for York pupils compared with national averages and a high proportion of 5 year olds achieved a good level of development compared to national and regional averages. However, challenges remain as the gap between disadvantaged pupils and their peers at KS4 widened in York and nationally, and a legacy of Covid-19 is that school attendance of disadvantaged groups continues to be slower to recover.

 

13.        We are listening to residents within Our Big Budget Conversation, a consultation on budget priorities taking place over 4 stages during 2024-25 with stage 2 concluding at the end of Q2 with over 1000 responses. The annual Tenant Satisfaction survey was sent to all council tenants in September 2024, where over 7000 households have been asked about their views on services. York remains committed to improving stock condition and tenant experiences, and results from the 2023-24 Regulator for Social Housing return are due for publication on the York Open Data platform in November 2024.

 

14.        Annex 2 is a Council Plan Progress Report providing an update of activity against each of the plan’s seven priorities in the year since the approval of the Council Plan (September 2023 to September 2024). Progress Reports will be published on an annual basis and sit alongside a six-monthly snapshot of progress available on the Council’s website (https://www.york.gov.uk/council-plan-1/snapshot-progress-council-plan/5). The report complements the Finance and Performance Monitor, providing a narrative for the steps that the Council is taking to meet its ambitions.

 

Benefits and Challenges

 

15.        This report is mainly to note the latest financial projections and current performance.  The main challenge is delivering on agreed savings whilst also identifying further reductions in expenditure.  The main benefit of approving the recommendations will be the ongoing financial stability of the Council.

 

Policy Basis for Decision

 

16.        This report is mainly to note the latest financial projections and current performance.  The ongoing financial resilience and stability of the Council will be essential to ensuring that Council priorities can continue to be achieved. 

 

Financial Strategy Implications

 

17.        This report sets out the projected financial position and identifies a range of actions that are necessary in order to reduce expenditure, both within the current financial year and over the next 3 years to safeguard the Council’s financial resilience and stability.

 

Recommendation and Reasons

 

18.        Executive is asked to:

·  Note the finance and performance information.

·  Note that work will continue on identifying the savings needed to fully mitigate the forecast overspend.

·  Agree the annual Garden Waste Subscription Scheme charge for 2025/26 at £49.

Reason: to ensure expenditure is kept within the approved budget.

 

 

 

 

 

Background

 

Financial Summary and Mitigation Strategy

 

19.        The current forecast is that there will be an overspend of £2.7m.  This is despite the additional budget allocated through the 2024/25 budget process and ongoing action being taken by managers across the Council to try and reduce expenditure.  Of particular concern, is the increase in forecast overspend across Adult Social Care, where the predicted outturn has increased by £2.4m. Paragraph 57 below outlines the actions being taken within the directorate to mitigate against this increased forecast overspend.

 

20.        If the Council continues to spend at the current level, and no action is taken, then we will continue to overspend and will exhaust our reserves and any other available funding.  The current level of expenditure is unaffordable and therefore we must continue the work started in the previous financial year to identify and take the necessary actions to reduce expenditure. 

 

21.        As outlined in previous reports to Executive, we have continued to see recurring overspends across both Adult and Children’s Social Care.  However, the underspends and mitigations that have allowed us to balance the budget at year end have generally been one off. Whilst the use of reserves to fund an overspend is appropriate as a one-off measure, it does not remove the need to identify ongoing savings to ensure the overall position is balanced.  The budget report considered by Executive in February 2024 also included an assessment of risks associated with the budget, which included the need to secure further savings and effectively manage cost pressures. 

 

22.        Members will be aware that the financial position of local government is a national challenge and that the pressures being seen across both Adult and Children’s Social Care are not something that is unique to York.  Many Councils are experiencing significant financial pressures and struggling to balance their budgets now, so it is vital that we continue the work started last year to reduce our expenditure down to a sustainable level both within the current financial year and over the medium term. 

 

 

 

23.        On 30th October, the Chancellor announced the first budget of the new Government.  Whilst we will need to await the draft local government settlement in December for detailed allocations of any funding to York, there was a confirmation that there are plans to reform local authority funding (especially distribution) in 2026/27 “to ensure it reflects an up to date assessment of need and local revenues”. This is both an opportunity and a risk to our medium term finances, given our position as one of the lowest funded councils in the country.

 

24.        Given the scale of the financial challenge, and the expected impact on budgets in future years, it is vital that every effort is made to balance the overall position.  It is recognised that this will require difficult decisions to be made to protect services for vulnerable residents. 

 

25.        Corporate control measures are in place, but it is possible that they will not deliver the scale of reduction needed within the year.  Other savings proposals, including service reductions, may also be needed.  Officers will continue to carefully monitor spend, identify further mitigation, and review reserves and other funding to make every effort to reduce this forecast position.  However, it is possible that it will not be reduced to the point that the outturn will be within the approved budget. The Council has £6.9m of general reserves that would need to be called on if this were the case. As outlined in previous reports, any use of the general reserve would require additional savings to be made in the following year to replenish the reserve and ensure it remains at the recommended minimum level.

 

26.        The delivery of savings plans continues to be a clear priority for all officers during the year.  Corporate Directors and Directors will keep Executive Members informed of progress on a regular basis.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Analysis

 

27.        The Council’s net budget is £149m. Following on from previous years, the challenge of delivering savings continues with c£14m to be achieved to reach a balanced budget.  The latest forecasts indicate the Council is facing net financial pressures of £2.7m and an overview of this forecast, on a directorate by directorate basis, is outlined in Table 1 below. 

 

Service area

Net budget

£’000

2024/25 Forecast Variation

£’000

Children & Education

28,659

1,111

Adult Social Care & Integration

45,307

3,286

Transport, Environment & Planning

23,464

-610

Housing & Communities

6,614

790

Corporate & Central Services

44,648

-132

Sub Total

148,692

4,445

Contingency

576

-576

Use of earmarked reserves

 

-1,089

Total including contingency

149,268

2,780

Table 1: Finance overview

Reserves and Contingency

 

28.        The February 2024 budget report to Full Council stated that the minimum level for the General Fund reserve should be £7.4m.  At the beginning of 2024/25 the reserve stood at £7.4m.

 

29.        Should the mitigation outlined in this report not deliver the required level of savings in the current financial year then this reserve is available to support the year end position.  However, in light of the ongoing financial challenges being faced by all Councils it is now more important than ever to ensure the Council has sufficient reserves.  Therefore, should it be the case that we need to draw down a substantial amount from this general reserve in 2024/25, growth will need to be included in the 2025/26 budget to ensure that reserves can be maintained at an appropriate level.

 

30.        In addition to the general reserve of £7.4m there are a range of other earmarked reserves where funds are held for a specific purpose.  These reserves are always subject to an annual review and these funds will again be reviewed on a quarterly basis and where appropriate to do so will be released to support the in-year position. Whilst this is a prudent approach that will ensure the financial resilience of the Council it is not a substitute for resolving the underlying overspends but instead allows time to develop future savings proposals in a planned way.  A review has identified c£1m of reserves that can be released to support the in year position.

 

31.        As in previous years a contingency budget is in place, and this is currently assumed to be available to offset the pressures outlined in this report.   

 

Loans

 

32.        Further to a scrutiny review, it was agreed that these quarterly monitoring reports would include a review of any outstanding loans over £100k. There is one loan in this category for £1m made to Yorwaste, a company part owned by the Council in June 2012. Interest is charged on both loans at 4% plus base rate therefore interest of 9% is currently being charged. All repayments are up to date.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Directorate Analysis

 

Children and Education

33.        The forecast directorate outturn position is an overspend totalling £1,111k and the table below summarises the latest forecasts by service area.

 

 

2024/25 Budget

Forecast Outturn Variance

£’000

Forecast Outturn Variance

%

Children’s Safeguarding

24,510

1,033

4.2

Education & Skills

14,047

135

1.0

School Funding & Assets

-5,732

-35

-0.6

Director and Central Budgets

-4,166

-22

-0.5

Total Children and Education

28,659

1,111

3.9

 

34.        As previously reported, the number of Children Looked After (CLA) in York has consistently been at a higher level than the budget was built to accommodate.  The number at the beginning of the financial year was 243, at the end of July it was still 243.  Placement budgets are predicted to be overspent by a total of £914k.  The pressure on this budget is partly due to the limited market for children’s placements and the statutory requirements placed on local authorities to meet children’s needs, coupled with inflationary pressures which could continue to worsen the position. Total growth of £1,647k has been allocated to the placements budgets in 2024/25.

 

35.        Safeguarding Interventions is predicted to underspend by 67k due to staffing vacancies.  In addition, legal fees are predicted to overspend by £135k.

 

36.        An overspend in Disabled Children’s Services of £476k is mainly overspends on direct payments.  A specific project for direct payments is being carried out, and this is predicted to clawback some of previous payments made and reduce ongoing costs.

 

37.        Innovation and Children`s Champion is predicted to underspend by -£160k (-£137k in 2023/24).  This is due to the ability to fund some expenditure from the Family Hubs grant & Family Seeing Grant.

 

38.        The Home to School Transport budget, which has been in an overspend position for a number of years, has been allocated £730k of growth for demographic pressures and contract inflation.

 

39.        At this point in the financial year, an overspend of £50k is predicted.  This is a change from Monitor 1 as there has been an amendment to the projected taxi expenditure to take account of the increased number of days in the 2024/25 financial year when transport will be required.  This is due to the Easter break for 2025 being wholly in the financial year 2025/26. The impact of this is an extra five days of transport in 2024/25 at an estimated cost of £65k.  This increase has been offset by a lower than assumed taxi cost by £15k in July 2024.

 

40.        The projected outturn includes an estimate of likely contractual inflation from 1st September 2024, and the final increase will be dependent on the relevant indices at that point.  In addition, at this point in the financial year, the financial impact of changes for the new academic year are not known until all eligible pupils have their travel arrangements confirmed in September so this position could change once all new academic year information on cost is available.

 

41.        Staff resourcing issues and turnover in the SEND Statutory Services Team, and the need to resource work to progress the Safety Valve targets have continued and resulted in the need to appoint a number of agency staff and also increase supporting resources, resulting in a predicted overspend of £65k based on current staffing assumptions.

 

42.        The Educational Psychologists Service is now predicted to overspend by £57k.  This is a change from the position previously reported (an underspend of £65k due to continuing vacancies in the team) and is because of the need to commission external agency support to clear a backlog of assessments at a cost of £122k.

 

43.        The Effectiveness and Achievement Service and the Skills Service are both predicted to outturn at or very close to budget.

 

44.        An overall underspend of £49k is now predicted within the Virtual School and Inclusion service, due to a vacancy, one-off savings in non-staffing expenditure and additional grant funding supporting already committed expenditure.

 

45.        The Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG) is ahead of the target position set out in the Safety Valve recovery plan agreed with the DfE.  The local authority is now in the third year of this four year agreement and has exceeded the financial targets for the first two years.

 

46.        The brought forward balance on the DSG as at 1 April 2024 was a deficit of £291k.  The initial year end projection for 2024/25 is for a cumulative deficit of approximately £780k, although this is subject to change as new academic year details of provision are confirmed.  This increased deficit is despite the LA expecting to receive almost £1.5m of further Safety Valve funding during the year and is indicative of the increasing pressures and demands being placed on LAs to provide for High Needs pupils.

 

47.        In common with the national picture, York is continuing to experience an increase in High Needs pupils together with an increasing complexity of need, often requiring expensive provision, especially in Post 16 and Post 19 provision and the education element of Out of Authority placements.  In particular York is facing a significant increase in demand for special school places, often exacerbated by tribunal decisions.

 

48.        In addition, due to the significant pressures on mainstream school budgets, it is becoming increasingly difficult for High needs pupils to be supported in these settings.  This situation is particularly difficult in York due to the low level of school funding which has a significant impact on these schools ability to adequately meet the needs of High Needs pupils.

 

49.        The Safety Valve agreement commits the local authority to bring the DSG into an in-year balanced position by 2025/26.  Further payments are conditional on the local authority meeting the targets set out in the Management Plan, and reporting quarterly to the DfE on progress, with the eventual aim of eliminating the in-year deficit by the target date, with additional payments by the DfE eliminating the historic deficit at that point.

 

50.        As a result of the above, this third year of the Safety Valve agreement is likely to be the most difficult to date, with an increasing risk of the LA being unable to meet the target of eliminating the cumulative deficit by the end of 2025/26 as set out in the original agreement.  Officers are working hard to avoid this position, but it is becoming increasingly challenging to achieve.

Adults

 

51.        The projected outturn position for Adult Social Care is an overspend of £3,286k and the table below summarises the latest forecasts by service area.  This projection is based on customer numbers and costs in the first two months of the year.  The projection assumes that £898k of previously agreed savings will be made by the end of the year.

 

 

2024/25 Budget

£’000

Forecast Outturn Variance

£’000

Forecast Outturn Variance

%

Direct Payments

4,841

5,781

119.4

Home and Day Support

2,844

1,078

37.9

Supported Living

15,689

2,650

16.8

Residential care

15,244

821

5.4

Nursing care

5,149

160

3.1

Short term placements

861

-132

-15.3

Staffing (mostly social work staff)

7,218

397

5.5

Contracts and Commissioning

2,353

-53

-2.2

In House Services

4,837

116

2.4

Be Independent & Equipment

982

459

46.7

Other

-14,650

-2,530

-17.3

Recharges

-61

14

23.0

Total Adult Social Care

45,307

3,286

7.2

 

52.        The forecast position for Adult Social Care is an overspend of £3,286k.  This is based on customer numbers and costs to the end of August.  The projection assumes that agreed savings of £898k will be made by the end of the year.  The forecast overspend has increased by £925k compared to Quarter 1.

 

53.        The main reasons for this increased forecast are additional customers in Learning Disability Supported Living and Older People residential placements.  There have also been increased homecare hours provided.  In addition, it has been assumed that £1.2m of savings will now not be achieved in the current financial year.

 

54.        ASC has received total growth of £7m in 2024/25. £2.8m of this growth has been allocated to external care budgets to cover demographic pressures, £1.4m has been allocated to fund inflationary pressures, £800k to reducing growth needed by managing demand and £500k has been allocated to fund savings which are unlikely to be achieved this year.  In addition to this £300k has been set aside to fund Preparing for Adulthood (PFA) customers coming through from Children’s Services and £200k to tackle the current review backlog where it is expected that there are savings to be crystalised.

 

55.        The Council has received several requests from providers for higher rates of inflation than have currently been agreed.  These requests will be considered on a case by case basis, and if agreed, will put further pressure on the budget.  This possibility needs to be balanced by the risk of provider failure / withdrawal from the market which would incur costs on finding new placements for customers, etc.

 

56.        The projected overspend is largely due to the incomplete delivery of prior year savings targets carried through from previous years’ budgets.

 

57.        The directorate is taking the following action to improve the financial position;

·        The reablement contract has been retendered and is starting to be implemented. This is designed to support more people to go through the reablement service in a shorter time frame, at lower cost, resulting in more people with lower or no care needs. Contract monitoring arrangements are being put in place to make the most of the contractual arrangements that promote good performance and enable the reduction in payment should the provider not deliver. Occupational Therapy expertise has a key role to play in maximising independence and reducing level of need: Therapy led reablement is known to be effective and additional occupational therapy is planned to be deployed to support this.

 

·        The provision of support to people overnight by internal adult social care provision is under review with a view to remodelling support and reducing costs while ensuring we continue to meet our duty to meet eligible needs.

·        Further work is being undertaken in relation to continuing health care funding. This includes developing a consistent approach with other local authorities in the ICB, improved engagement in the process by CYC including developing joint training and processes to support resolution of disputes.

·        The Adult Social Care practice assurance process continues to be developed with an emphasis on embedding the strength-based approach to practice and supporting decision-making at the earliest opportunity. This process will be linked with our Workforce Development colleagues to assure any learning identified informs future practice. The Assurance Forum will look to ensure that Community and individual networks and community based resources have been considered. This also gives consideration of a range of issues including: alternatives to high cost provision, the prevention of expensive off- framework provision, ensures full use of in house and block provision, the use of equipment and technology, and where possible, the reduction of proposed paid for care.

·        A working group has been established to carry out a detailed review of Direct Payments which should lead to a reduction in the overspend on these budgets.

 

58.        The following sections describe any significant variations to budgeted costs, customer numbers and income. The variations are generally due to not fully meeting previous years’ savings targets plus significant price pressures in the market.   Some variations are large due to having small numbers of individuals within those budgets whose individual needs can vary significantly.

 

Direct Payments (£1,204k overspend)

 

59.        The main overspend is on the Learning Disability (LD) direct payments budget, which is expected to overspend by £1,191k. This is due to the average cost of a direct payment being £137 per week more than in the budget (£868k), and the average cost of transport for direct payment being £41 per week more than budget (£228k).  In addition the average weekly health income received per customer is less £575 less than in the budget (£270k).

 

60.        A working group has been established to carry out a detailed review of Direct Payments which should lead to a reduction in the overspend on these budgets.

 

Home and Day Support (£1,078k overspend)

 

61.        The Community Learning Disability budget is expected to overspend by £136k due to  underachievement of Continuing Health Care (CHC) income (£266k), which is partially offset by additional S117 income and additional income from customers contributing to their care (-£101k).

 

62.        The Community Learning Disability (LD) Transitions budget is expected to overspend by £120k due to an increase in the weekly costs compared to budget (£260k), which is offset by an increase in the weekly funding received from CHC and customers contributing to their own care (-£142k).

 

63.        The Community Older People budget is expected to overspend by £515k largely due to the average homecare hours per week being 601 more than budget (£756k), offset by an increase in customer contributions being received (£247k). These figures include an additional contingency added for Springfield homecare customers (£200k). This was under-projected at Q1 as there has been a change in the way that invoices are processed which has meant delays in payments being made.  This has brought the estimated cost of Springfield customers back in line with the amounts paid in 2023/24.

 

64.        The Community Physical & Sensory Impairment (PSI) budget is expected to overspend by £245k, due to 2 more customers on exception contracts than in the budget (£101k) and a reduction of £311 in the average weekly health income being received per customer (£178k).  This is offset by a lower than budgeted expenditure on day support (£16k).

 

Supported Living (£2,650k overspend)

 

65.        Supported Living are settings where more than one customer lives, with their own tenancy agreements, where their needs are met by a combination of shared support and one to one support.  Supported Living providers received a mid-year inflationary increase in 2023/24 which was covered by the MSIF grant and the pressures shown below are in part due to the full year effect of this increase.

 

66.        The Learning Disability Supported Living budget is projected to overspend by £1,902k. The average cost of a placement is £124 per week more than in the budget (£1,201k), there are two more customers than budgeted for (£235k) and expenditure on voids is expected to be around £235k this year.

 

67.        The Physical & Sensory Impairment Supported Living schemes budget is projected to overspend by £463k. This is due to the average cost of a placement being around £375 per week higher than in the budget (£959k), partially offset by having eight fewer customers in placement than assumed in the budget.

 

68.        The Mental Health Supported Living schemes budget is projected to overspend by £289k. This is due to the average cost of a placement being around £195 per week higher than in the budget (£33k).

 

Residential care (£861k overspend)

 

69.        The OP Residential Care budget is expected to overspend by £1,496k. There are 11 more customers than in the budget (£584k) and the average cost per customer is £144 per week higher (£2,062k). This is offset by 5 additional customers with S117 contributions (-£193k), an increase in the income received per S117 customer (-£78k), 20 more customers contributing to their costs of care (-£474k) and an increase in the average contributions received per customer of £35 per week (-£456k).

 

70.        The MH Residential Care over 65 budget is expected to underspend by £358k. There are 3 less customers in placement (-£162k) and the average cost of care per customers is £385 per week less than in the budget (-£241k).

 

71.        The MH Residential Care working age budget is expected to overspend by £187k. There is a decrease in the average weekly income received from S117 contributions which is £174 per week less than in budget (£299k). In addition there are two additional customers in placement (£160k), offset by a decrease in the weekly average cost per placement of £93 per week  (£-273k).

 

72.        The LD Residential Care over 65 budget is projected to underspend by £156k. This is due to having 2 fewer customers than assumed in the budget.

 

73.        Additional Funding from the ASC Discharge fund will also be added into the Residential Care Budget (£-500k).

 

Nursing Care (£160k overspend)

 

74.        LD Permanent Nursing Care budgets are projected to overspend by £194k, due to having 4 more customers in over 65 placements than assumed in the budget.

 

75.        Mental Health Nursing Care budgets are expected to overspend by £243k.  There are currently 3 more customers in placement than budgeted (£525k), partially offset by 3 more customers receiving health income (-£323k).

 

76.        OP Permanent Nursing Care is projected to underspend by £412k. The average cost of a placement is £231 a week less than in the budget (-£1,377k), and there are two more customer receiving health contributions (-£132k).  This is offset by having two more customers in placement (£119k), a reduction in the average customer contributions received of £68 per week (£317k) and a reduction in the average health income received per customer of £550 a week (£574k). 

 

77.        The P&SI Nursing budget is expected to overspend by £135k, largely due to the average weekly cost per customer being higher than assumed in the budgeted.

In House Services and Staffing

 

78.        The Council employs a variety of staff to advise and assess residents’ and customers’ social care needs. We also directly provide care and support to individuals and have teams which provide home care both overnight in the community and in our Independent Living Schemes as well as running day support activities for those with a learning difficulty and those experiencing poor Mental Health. We also operate short stay residential care for the same customer groups.

 

Staffing (£397k overspend)

 

79.        There are staffing overspends in the Hospital Discharge Team, Mental Advocacy Team, and the Social Work Team. Mostly due to these teams being over establishment and using agency staff. This is partially offset by vacancies elsewhere in the service.

 

 

 

Contracts and Commissioning (£53k underspend)

 

80.        Based on activity to date there is likely to be an underspend on the Carers commissioned services budget by the end of the year.

 

Be Independent & Equipment (£459k overspend)

 

81.        Be Independent provide equipment to customers to allow individuals to remain independent and active within their communities. They also provide an alarm response service means tested as to whether a customer pays for it.

 

82.        There is still a budget gap of £180k arising from when the service was originally outsourced which has yet to be fully addressed. Staffing is expected to overspend by £110k largely due to an unfunded regrade of some of the posts in the team and to having a review manager post above establishment.  The vehicle hire budget is projected to overspend by £26k and there has been an increase in rental costs for the premises which will be fully absorbed by the service and not recharged to Mediquip this year (£30k). In addition, there is expected to be an underachievement of income based on current customer numbers (£21k) and the decision to end equipment sales (£48k).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

In House Services (£116k overspend)

 

83.      There are projected overspends at 22 The Avenue, Flaxman Avenue, and Yorkcraft. This is partially offset by the expected underspend on staffing in the PSS service due to vacancies and reduced use of agency staff.

 

Transport, Environment and Planning

 

84.        The directorate is forecasting an underspend at quarter 1 of £610k and the table below summarises the latest forecasts by service area.

 

 

2024/25

Budget

£’000

Forecast Outturn  Variance

£’000

Forecast Outturn Variance

%

Transport

7,078

-381

-5

Fleet

-127

0

0

Highways

5,008

-100

-2

Parking Services

-8,348

-70

-1

Waste

14,536

-139

-1

Public Realm

3,422

-23

-1

Emergency Planning

145

0

0

Planning Services

89

97

109

Public Protection

809

12

1

Community Safety

715

-6

-1

Management

137

0

0

TOTAL

23,464

-610

-3

 

85.        The Transport, Environment and Planning Directorate is projecting an underspend of £610k after the second quarter. 

 

 

86.        Within Transport there was an underspend of £381k across the service. There is a forecast underspend against the Concessionary Fares budget of £325k as numbers of concessionary passengers have not fully returned to pre pandemic levels although the saving is lower than 2023/24.

 

87.        Car park income at the end of August remains within 1% of budget as transactions have reduced by 7% but income per transaction increased by 12%. The has meant total income is c4% higher than 2023/24 in line with budget. Respark and season ticket income is ahead of budget and therefore the current forecast is that total income will be on budget. This will continue to be monitored closely as the budget is c £2m higher than last year. 

 

88.        There is a forecast underspend of £139k across waste disposal and collection. Income from selling spare capacity at Allerton Waste Recovery Plan is forecast to be £200k higher than forecast as overall council waste tonnages remain relatively static.

 

89.        Across Waste Collection operational costs are forecast to be £50k below budget as vehicle repairs and the cost of hire was below budget as the fleet is relatively new.

 

90.        The garden waste subscription service was introduced in August 2024. There have been over 36,600 subscribers to the new scheme which has given revenue of £736k which is £164k below budget but given the part year impact, the performance is very strong.

 

91.        Within the Highways area there is an anticipated underspend of £100k as electricity prices have reduced for unmetered supply to a lower level than assumed in the budget.

 

92.        Across planning services there is a shortfall in income from building control as the service has at this time very limited staffing resources and primarily only able to provide the statutory service.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Housing and Community Services

 

93.        The directorate is forecasting an overspend at quarter 2 of £790k and the table below summarises the latest forecasts by service area.

 

 

2024/25

Budget

£’000

Forecast Outturn Variance £’000

Forecast Outturn Variance

%

Housing Services

-126

1

0.8

Healthy & Sustainable Homes

352

-11

-3.4

Communities

6,783

321

4.7

Customer Services

-230

79

34.3

Policy & Strategy

357

400

112.0

TOTAL

7,097

+790

11.1

 

94.        The Housing and Community Services Directorate is forecasting an overspend of £790k after the second quarter. The primary reason for the overspend relates to the delivery of two key savings across the Directorate. These are detailed further in the paragraphs below.

 

95.        As reported at monitor 1 the main potential pressure under Communities relates to a £300k library saving. The council is undertaking due process to work with Explore to consider options that can be included into the contract that will deliver a saving. The process does require time to review provision levels as well as consultation and agreement from the partners. There remains an aspiration to gain a full saving from the process but the timeline and level of in year saving is in question.

 

96.        Within Policy and Strategy, the agreed saving of £500k from advertising is not going to be delivered within this financial year. Mitigations in staffing costs have improved the position however a restructure is required to achieve recurring savings.

 

97.        Elsewhere in the Directorate it is expected that expenditure will be broadly delivered within budget.

 

 

 

Housing Revenue Account

 

98.        The Housing Revenue Account budget for 2024/25 was set as a net surplus of £2,023k prior to debt repayment at February 2024. There were carry forwards of £2,293k agreed as part of the outturn report meaning the revised budget stands at £8,670k deficit (including £8,400k debt repayment).

 

 

2024/25

Budget

£’000

Forecast Outturn  Variance

£’000

Forecast Outturn Variance

%

Repairs & Maintenance

10,867

0

0

General Management

7,790

-61

-1

Special Services

3,912

-240

-6

Other Expenditure

19,870

1,095

6

Dwelling rents

-37,933

100

0

Non-Dwelling Rents

-533

-32

-6

Charges for Services

-2,385

+208

+9

Other Income

-1,318

-1,005

-76

Total

270

65

+24

Debt Repayment

8,400

0

0

Revised Position

8,670

65

1

 

99.        There is a forecast underspend across special services primarily due to savings from Glen Lodge as the refurbishment scheme is delivered. This is offset from reduced income in the Charges for Service line.

 

100.    Across other expenditure there is a forecast increase in the depreciation charge (£700k) which provides the Major Repairs reserve. There is also an increase in interest costs following a loan being taken out in 2023/24 to fund Housing Delivery projects (£293k).

 

101.    Rent incomes are reporting an overspend due to the lost income from the Bell Farm and Glen Lodge refurbishment schemes however the underlying position is an improvement over previous years due to less loss of income from void properties.

 

102.    Within other income given the continued level of interest rates remaining at 5% it is estimated that interest earned will be c £1m above budget which will fund the depreciation and interest payment overspends.

 

103.    The high level of working balance is available to start repaying the £121.5m debt that the HRA incurred as part of self-financing in 2012. The first repayment of £1.9m was paid in 2023/24 and a second payment on £8.4m is due to be repaid at 31st March 2025. These are to be funded from general HRA reserves. 

 

104.    The HRA working balance position as at 31st March 2024 was £30.0m and the latest forecast balance at 31st March 2025 is estimated to reduce to £21.4m.

 

Corporate & Central Services

 

105.    The forecast outturn position for the remaining areas of the Council is a net underspend of £132k and the table below summarises the latest forecasts by service area.

 

 

2024/25

Budget

£’000

Forecast Outturn  Variance

£’000

Forecast Outturn Variance

%

Director of Finance

3,878

0

0

CO HR & Support Services

11,047

-89

-0.8

Director of Governance

3,795

-43

-0.1

City Development

710

0

0

Public Health

13

0

0

Other Corporate & Treasury Mgt

25,204

0

0

Contingency

576

-576

-100

Total

45,223

-708

-1.45

 

106.    Within the corporate services directorates it is forecast at that expenditure can be broadly contained within budgets.

 

107.    There remains £576k set aside as a contingency and this is assumed to be used to offset other financial pressures across the council.

 

Performance – Service Delivery

 

108.    This performance report is based upon the city outcome and council delivery indicators included in the Performance Framework for the Council Plan (2023-2027) which was launched in September 2023. Wider or historic strategic and operational performance information is published quarterly on the Council’s open data platform; www.yorkopendata.org.uk

 

 

109.    The Executive for the Council Plan (2023-2027) agreed a core set of indicators to help monitor the Council priorities and these provide the structure for performance updates in this report. Some indicators are not measured on a quarterly basis and the DoT (Direction of Travel) is calculated on the latest three results whether they are annual or quarterly.

 

110.    A summary of the city outcome and council delivery indicators by council plan theme are shown in the paragraphs below, and the latest data for all of the core indicator set can be seen in Annex 1.

 

Performance - Health and Wellbeing: A health generating city

 

111.    Number of children in temporary accommodation – at the end of 2023-24, there were 45 children in temporary accommodation in York which, although an increase from 39 children the previous quarter, is a reduction from 63 at the end of 2022-23. The majority of these children are in stable family setups, do not show evidence of achieving worse outcomes, and York continues to report no households with children housed in Bed and Breakfast accommodation. Data for Q1 2024-25 will be available in November 2024.

 

112.    %pt gap between disadvantaged pupils and their peers achieving 9-4 in English and Maths at KS4 – The gap at age 16 widened in York and Nationally to 43% in summer 2023. A legacy of Covid-19 is that school attendance of disadvantaged groups has been slower to recover, and has been worse than for the same group nationally. The work currently being undertaken through the Attendance Graduated Response is seeing improvements in attendance. Data for 2023-24 will be available in December 2024.

 

113.    % of reception year children recorded as being overweight (incl. obese) – The participation rates for the National Child Measurement Programmes (NCMP) in York for 2022-23 were 97.2% for reception aged children and 95.1% for Year 6 pupils. Data for 2023-24 will be available in November 2024.

·        The 2022-23 NCMP found that 19.9% of reception aged children in York were overweight (including obese), compared with 21.3% in England and 22.5% in the Yorkshire and Humber region. York has the second lowest rate of overweight (including obese) for reception aged children in the Yorkshire and Humber region.

·        Of Year 6 children in York, 32.5% were overweight (including obese) in 2022-23 compared with 36.6% in England and 38.1% in the Yorkshire and Humber region. York has the lowest rate of overweight (including obese) for Year 6 children in the Yorkshire and Humber region.

 

114.    % of adults (aged 16+) that are physically active – The latest data from the Adult Active Lives Survey for the period from mid-November 2022 to mid-November 2023 was published in April 2024. Data for 2024-25 will be available in April 2025. In York, 515 people aged 16 and over took part in the survey, and they reported higher levels of physical activity, and lower levels of physical inactivity, compared with the national and regional averages. Positively:

 

·        69.8% of people in York did more than 150 minutes of physical activity per week compared with 63.4% nationally and 61.7% regionally. There has been no significant change in the York value from that 12 months earlier.

 

·        18.8% of people in York did fewer than 30 minutes per week compared with 25.7% nationally and 27.7% regionally. There has been no significant change in the York value from that 12 months earlier.

 

115.    Percentage of people who use services who have control over their daily life – Disabled People – In 2022-23, 78% of all York’s respondents to the Adult Social Care Survey said that they had “as much control as they wanted” or “adequate” control over their daily life, which was the same as the percentage in the Y&H region as a whole. It is higher than the corresponding percentage who gave one of these responses in England as a whole (77%). It has slightly decreased in York from the 2021-22 figure (79%). Data for 2023-24 will be available in December 2024.

 

116.    Percentage of people who use services who have control over their daily life – Older People – In 2022-23, 77% of older people in York that responded to the Adult Social Care Survey said that they had “as much control as they wanted” or “adequate” control over their daily life. This is higher than the corresponding percentages experienced by older people in the Y&H region and in England as a whole (both 74%). It has also increased in York from the 2021-22 figure (71%). Data for 2023-24 will be available in December 2024.

 

117.    Overall satisfaction of people who use services with their care and support – Data at LA and national level for 2022-23 was published in December 2023, and the data shows that there has been a slight increase in the percentage of York’s ASC users who said that they were “extremely” or “very” satisfied with the care and support they received from CYC compared with 2021-22 (up from 65% to 67%). The levels of satisfaction experienced by York’s ASC users in 2022-23 were slightly higher than those in the Y&H region (66% said they were “extremely” or “very” satisfied with the care and support from their LA) and in England as a whole (64% gave one of these answers). Data for 2023-24 will be available in December 2024.

 

118.    Health Inequalities in wards – The ‘health gap’ indicators show the difference between the wards with the highest and lowest values.  A lower value is desirable as it indicates less variation in health outcomes based on where people live within the City. Trend data for these indicators helps to monitor whether the gaps are narrowing or widening over time. New data will be available in December 2024.

 

·        Absolute gap in % of children who reach expected level of development at 2-2.5 years of age between highest and lowest York ward (4 yr aggregated) - The value for this indicator for the 4 year period 2020-21 to 2023-24 was 10.53% (the difference between 95.95% in Haxby & Wiggington and 85.42% in Clifton). The latest value represents an improvement (a narrowing of the gap in York) compared with the previous values of 13.65% for 2019-20 to 2022-23 and 13.1% for 2018-19 to 2021-22.

 

·        Absolute gap in % of children totally or partially breastfeeding at 6-8 weeks between highest and lowest York ward (4 year aggregated ward data) - The value for this indicator for the 4 year period 2020-21 to 2023-24 was 39.3%% (the gap between 81% in Heworth Without and 41.7% in Westfield).  There has been a widening of the gap from the 4 year period 2017-18 to 2020-21 (36.5%) to the most recent 4 year period (39.3%).

 

119.    Children and young people in care per 10k, excluding short breaks – At the end of September 2024, 232 children and young people were in York’s care, with a steady reduction from 262 in March 2023. As a rate per 10k population, this is below the national average and within York’s expected range. Unaccompanied Asylum Seeking Children (UASC), a sub-group of children in care, are expected to increase in number in York.  However, at the end of September, 15 of York’s children in care were UASC, compared to 18 in March 2024. The National Transfer Scheme now mandates that “the Home Office will not transfer UASC to an authority that is already looking after UASC in line with, or greater than, 0.1% of their child population”.  For York, this is equivalent to approximately 34 young people.

 

120.    Children subject to a Child Protection Plan – 139 children were the subject of a Child Protection Plan at the end of September 2024. As a rate per 10k population, York remains below the most recently released National average. The number of children subject to a Child Protection Plan in York is within York’s expected range (133-150).

 

Performance - Education and Skills: High quality skills and learning for all

 

121.    % of working age population qualified to at least L2 and above – In 2023-24, 90% of the working age population in York were qualified to at least L2 and above (GCSE grades 9-4), which is higher than the national and regional figures (86.5% and 85.1% respectively). This result ranks the city of York first regionally. This latest figure is a slight decrease from 2022-23 (94.2%). It should be noted that there has been a slight change in methodology from 2022-23. Data for 2024-25 will be available in May 2025.

 

122.    % of working age population qualified to at least L4 and above – In 2023-24, 53.8% of the working age population in York were qualified to at least L4 and above (certificate of higher education or equivalent), which is higher than the national and regional figures (47.3% and 41.2% respectively). This result ranks the city of York fourth regionally. The 2023-24 figure is a decrease from 2022-23 (60.3%) but higher than in previous years. Data for 2024-25 will be available in May 2025.

 

123.    % of pupils achieving 9-4 or above in English and Maths at KS4 – DfE data shows strong performance for York pupils when compared with National averages. In 2022-23, 70.2% of York’s Year 11s achieved grades 9-4 in English and Maths (considered a standard pass), compared to 65.3% Nationally. Data for 2023-24 will be available in December 2024.

 

124.    % of children who have achieved a Good Level of Development at Foundation Stage – In 2022-23, 69.7% of our 5-year-olds achieved a Good Level of Development compared to 67.2% Nationally, and 66.2% in Yorkshire and Humber. Data for 2023-24 will be available in December 2024.

 

Performance - Economy: A fair, thriving, green economy for all

 

125.    Universal Credit Claimants – At the end of September 2024 there were 13,714 people, in York, on Universal Credit. Although this is the highest figure to date, surpassing the previous high of 13,236 in February 2021, it is low compared to the region or nationally, and represents 10% of the working population in York, compared to 19% regionally and 17% nationally. The figures dropped to a low of 11,054 in May 2022 but they have steadily increased since then. This is a mixture of increased claimants and people who have been converting over from other schemes, with this picture becoming clearer in 2024-25 as DWP predicts/plans for all people to have moved over to Universal Credit.

 

126.    There are two types of claimant: those in employment and those not. Both types have been gradually increasing in the last 12 months with the number of those not in employment increasing as claimants of health-related legacy benefits (e.g. Employment and Support Allowance) are migrated across to Universal Credit. The increase in the number of those in employment may be attributed to a higher percentage of part time workers (29.8% in York, 25% regionally and 23.6% nationally). Our partners within DWP have praised the Council for its positive housing benefit performance over the last 12 months with processing times indicative of a positive customer experience.

 

127.    Earnings gap between the 25 percentile and the median (£) – In York, the latest figures show that earnings continue to be low, although this gap has reduced by 7.3%, in 2023, to £152.20. This is the lowest gap since 2018-19. Nationally, there has been an increase of 1.4% to £163.20 and regionally an increase of 4.7% to £139.50. Data for 2024-25 will be available in December 2024.

128.    Housing affordability (median house prices to earnings ratio) – Owning a home in York remains largely unaffordable. In 2023, full-time employees, in York, could expect to spend around 9.3 times their annual earnings buying a home, compared to 8.3 times annual earnings in England and 6.1 times annual earnings in the region. In York this has increased by 3.8% on last year whilst at the national and regional level, these ratios are similar to 2022, and represent a return to the pre-coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic trend. Data for 2023-24 will be available in March 2025.

 

129.    % of vacant city centre shops – At the end of September 2024, there were 50 vacant shops in the city centre which equates to 7.9% of all city centre shops. This is much lower than the latest national benchmark in 2023-24 of 14% and the York figures have remained stable for a number of years.

 

130.    Business start ups – Figures for 2022-23 showed 870 new business start-ups for York, which is higher than in the previous year (746 in 2021-22). The York figure is at only a slightly lower level to that seen before the pandemic (932 in 2019-20). The year to date figure up to the end of February 2024 of 767 new start ups is at a similar level to last year. The monthly figures for business start ups in York came from a regionally paid for dataset but this has now come to an end. Alternative sources of this information are being sought.

 

131.    GVA per head (£) – In 2022-23, the GVA per head in York was £37,313 which was the second highest figure regionally. This latest figure is an increase from last year (£33,571). Annually since 2009-10, the GVA per head has generally been increasing (from £25,976 per head). Data for 2023-24 will be available in May 2025.

 

132.    % of working age population in employment (16-64) – In Q1 2024-25, 77.8% of the working age population were in employment, which is higher than the national and regional figures (75.5% and 73.1% respectively) and the York performance gives the city a ranking of second regionally. The figure for Q1 2024-25 in York remains fairly high overall but is lower than the figures seen for the previous two years.

 

133.    % of Total Employees working for an Accredited Living Wage/Good Business Charter employer – 16% of employees worked for an Accredited Living Wage employer and 13% worked for an Accredited Good Business Charter employer in 2022-23, which are both higher than in the previous year (14% and 12% respectively). Data for 2023-24 will be available in November 2024.

 

134.    Survival of Newly Born Businesses post 1 year – In York, 175 businesses were created in Q3 2023-24, up 6% on a year ago. There were 160 business closures in the same quarter, down 8% on the year before. The survival rate post 1 year has been consistently above 94% in York for the last 4 years, with the latest figure of 94.4%. The York figures have been consistently higher than the National and Regional rates. Data for 2022-23 will be available in November 2024.

 

Performance - Transport: Sustainable accessible transport for all

 

135.    Area Wide Traffic Levels – Between 2011-12 and 2016-17, the number of vehicles on the city’s roads increased year on year to a high of 2.2 million. Following this, the numbers decreased to a low of 1.75m in 2020-21. However, the covid pandemic brought with it numerous national lockdowns and local restrictions so the decrease in traffic levels was to be expected. Since then, figures had increased to 2.08m in 2022-23 although the latest figures show a slight reduction to 2.02m vehicles in 2023-24.

 

136.    Index of Cycling activity – Prior to the pandemic, cycling levels in the city were around 41% (2019) above the baseline taken in 2009. The latest data shows that cycling levels in 2023 were 13% above the baseline. The pandemic had a huge effect on how people travel around, and how much they travel. Other cities with high levels of cycling have also seen falls in activity. In York, cycling levels appear to have fallen because of a decline in commuting (as a result of more working from home), although travel patterns are still settling down. York has a strong walking and cycling heritage, but if we are to achieve our climate and traffic reduction targets and see a long-term, sustainable increase in rates of cycling, we need to enable more people to choose the bicycle as the primary way of getting around. There is much more to be done to encourage even more people towards riding, wheeling and walking in the future, and we have recently carried out an extensive consultation to better understand what changes we can make to help support residents to make the change to cycling, and how we can support our cycling communities. Data for 2024 will be available in 2025.

 

 

 

137.    Index of pedestrians walking to and from the City Centre – From a baseline in 2009-10 (36,919), there has been a 25% increase in the number of pedestrians walking to and from the city centre in 2023-24. This is 1%pt higher than in 2022-23 and remains high compared to previous years. Data is gathered on an annual basis over the course of one day; it is a count of pedestrians crossing an inner cordon set just beyond the inner ring road and includes off-road routes such as riverside paths.

 

138.    % of customers arriving at York station by sustainable modes of transport – In 2023, 78% of customers arrived at York station by sustainable modes of transport which is an increase from 60% in 2022 (the survey was delayed in 2022 so didn’t take place until January 2023 which may have affected the result, and in addition, two of the usual counting locations were missed which may explain the lower than usual percentage). The data is usually gathered by an annual survey which takes place for a five-hour period in seven locations around the station. Members of the public are asked how they arrive at the station and the results are flow weighted to take into account the split of people arriving at each entrance. Data for 2024 will be available in mid 2025.

 

139.    The number of CYC electric vehicle recharging points - There were 103 CYC electric recharging points at the end of Q2 2024-25, which is the same as at the same point in the previous year.

 

140.    When looking at all providers of EV charging, the latest data collated by ZapMap, a charging locator app, shows that for York the total number of publicly available charging devices (all speeds) was 146 at the end of Q1 2024-25 which is a reduction from 221 at Q1 2023-24. The number of those which were rapid chargers was 36 at the end of Q1 2024-25 which is a reduction from 42 at Q1 2023-24. A charging device may have more than one connecter and be able to charge more than one vehicle at a time so the figures do not show total charging capacity but are an indication of and can be used to compare York to national and regional rates. The rate of devices available (all speeds) per 100,000 population was 71.4 for York compared to 55.9 Regionally and 97.4 Nationally.

 

141.    % of Principal/Non-principal roads where maintenance should be considered – In 2023-24, the percentage of principal roads in York, from local figures, where maintenance should be considered was 11% (the same as in 2021-22). There are two processes for collecting this indicator, a local one for providing the figures above, and a one-off SCANNER survey which is used by the DfT for benchmarking. The latest York figure for SCANNER is 2% for principal roads and this is slightly lower than the latest available benchmarks in 2022-23 (National average 4% and Regional average 3%).

 

142.    The percentage of non-principal roads in York, from local figures, where maintenance should be considered was 25% in 2023-24 (slightly higher than 23% in 2021-22). Like the above indicator, there are two processes for collecting this indicator, a local one for providing the figures above, and a one-off SCANNER survey which is used by the DfT for benchmarking. The latest York figure for SCANNER is 4% for non-principal roads which is lower than the latest benchmarks in 2022-23 (National average 6% and Regional average 3%). Data for 2024-25 will be available in June 2025. Please note SCANNER surveys were not carried out in York in 2021-22 and 2022-23.

 

Performance - Housing: Increasing the supply of affordable housing

 

143.    Number of new affordable homes delivered in York – During 2024-25, it is expected that affordable housing completions will be significantly below the identified level of need. National scale challenges are facing many areas with buoyant housing markets such as a shortage of sites for affordable housing and labour and supply chain constraints, and these have affected delivery in York. The council itself is maximising delivery opportunities currently, and will access a range of funding opportunities for direct delivery in addition to securing over half of the total completions during 2024-25 through Section 106 planning agreements.

 

144.    There remains a significant future pipeline of affordable homes with planning permission in place across the council's own newbuild development programme and section 106 planning gain negotiated affordable housing. Inclusive of applications with a resolution to approve from Planning Committee, there are over 1,000 affordable homes identified in approved planning applications. The progress ranges from sites that are being built out currently to others with substantial infrastructure or remediation challenges to resolve prior to development. Over 600 of these have progressed through detailed planning, either as a Full application or Reserved Matters. The remainder are at Outline stage, with more uncertainty on timescales and final delivery levels, including the York Central affordable housing contribution.

 

145.    The new Government and Combined Authority have stated that housing supply, and affordable homes in particular, are amongst its key delivery priorities and the council will take advantage of new opportunities in this climate wherever possible. Data for the first half of 2024-25 will be available in November 2024.

 

146.    % of dwellings with energy rating in A-C band in the EPC register – An Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) gives a property an energy efficiency rating from A (most efficient) to G (least efficient) and is valid for 10 years. Apart from a few exemptions, a building must have an EPC assessment when constructed, sold or let. Whilst the EPC register does not hold data for every property, it can be viewed as an indication of the general efficiency of homes. The rating is based on how a property uses and loses energy for example through heating, lighting, insulation, windows, water and energy sources. Each area is given a score which is then used to determine the A-G rating and a rating of A-C is generally considered to be good energy performance.

147.    The % of properties on the register for York with an EPC rating of A-C at the end of August was 45.3%. This measure has increased incrementally month on month since CYC began reporting on the information 18 months ago when 42% of properties were rated A-C. The largest changes in York continue to be in the middle categories with around 3% less properties rated D-E and around 2.5% more rated C. Data is based on the last recorded certificate for 61,666 properties on the register for York, some of which will have been last assessed more than ten years ago. When looking at certificates added or renewed in the past year only for 2023-24, 58.5% of certificates were rated A-C for York compared to 59.7% Nationally and 55.3% Regionally.

 

148.    Net Additional Homes – Between 1st April 2023 and 31st March 2024, a total of 462 net additional homes were completed. This total comprises two elements:

 

·        There has been a total of 529 net housing completions. This represents 69 more completed homes compared to the previous twelve-month monitoring period. The main features of the housing completions that were carried out are:

o   480 homes (90.9%) were completed on housing sites (Use Class 3). Of this, 390 were new build homes (81%).

o   8 homes were demolished during the monitoring period.

o   Individual sites that saw the construction of five or less dwellings during the monitoring period contributed just 56 (10.6%) homes.

o   Significant sites providing housing completions (Use Class C3) over the monitoring period have been Germany Beck (117), The Cocoa Works, Haxby Road (Phase 1 Blocks B and C) (107), Former Civil Service Club, Boroughbridge Road (79) and the Former Vacant Site, Eboracum Way (62).

o   A net total of 29 (5.5%) off campus, privately managed student ‘cluster flats’ were completed at Aubrey House Foss Islands Road.

o   143 (27.1%) net additional homes were a result of changes from other uses to residential homes.

 

·        A loss of 66 net equivalent homes resulted from the closure of three care homes within the authority area during the twelve-month monitoring period.

 

149.    Net Housing Consents – Planning applications determined during the full monitoring period of 1st April 2023 to 31st March 2024 resulted in the approval of 658 net additional homes. This compares to 1,559 net approvals granted the previous year. However, a further 513 homes were approved at Planning Committee during the monitoring period and are still awaiting legal agreement sign off.

 

150.    The main features of the housing approvals are:

 

·        577 of all net homes consented (87.7%) were granted on housing sites (Use Class C3).

·        Significant sites granted approval for housing (Use Class C3) includes Land at New Lane, Huntington (300), Os Field South of & Adjacent to 1 Tadcaster Road, Copmanthorpe (158), Land East of Middlewood Close, Rufforth (21) and Clifton Without County Junior School, Rawcliffe Drive (15).

·        59 homes were approved on sites of 5 or less homes.

·        A net total of 33 new homes across three sites were granted ‘prior approval’, the most significant of which was at Gateway 2, Holgate Park Drive (31).

·        44 net new retirement homes were allowed on appeal at 11 The Village, Wigginton.

 

 

 

 

 

·        A further 513 homes have been approved through a resolution to grant consent at Planning Committee over the last twelve months and are currently subject to the execution of a section 106 legal agreement. These sites include:

o   Land to the East of Millfield Industrial Estate, Main Street, Wheldrake (139).

o   Enterprise Rent-a-car, 15 Foss Islands Road (133).

o   Paddock lying between Park Lodge and Willow Bank, Haxby Road (117).

o   Land to the South-East of 51 Moor Lane, Copmanthorpe (75).

o   Tramways Club, 1 Mill Street (35).

 

151.    Number of homeless households with dependent children in temporary accommodation – The overall number of households in temporary accommodation has reduced during 2023-24, from 73 in Q1 to 63 at the end of Q4. The number of those with dependent children has fluctuated between 26 and 30 households throughout the year and was 29 households at year-end. Although the council would like these to reduce further, some progress has been made from the peaks seen at the end of 2022-23.

 

152.    Of the 29 households with children in temporary accommodation at quarter end, 27 were recorded as accommodated in hostels and two within Local Authority or Housing Association housing stock. York continues to report no households with children housed in Bed and Breakfast accommodation at quarter end.

 

153.    During 2023-24, an upward trend in overall numbers can be seen both nationally and regionally, however York has been moving in the opposite direction. When looking at the total number of households in temporary accommodation per households in area (000s), York continues to perform positively compared to benchmarks (0.71 in York compared to 4.9 Nationally, 1.4 Regionally and 17.8 in London). It should be noted that these figures are snapshot figures and therefore may fluctuate between the snapshot dates. Data for Q1 2024-25 will be available in November 2024.

 

154.    Number of people sleeping rough – Every Thursday, Navigators carry out an early morning street walk checking known rough sleeping hot spots and responding to intel or reports of rough sleepers. The monthly figure is based on the number of rough sleepers found bedded down on the last Thursday of each month. The latest figure shows that there were 20 people sleeping rough in York in September 2024, which is a slight decrease from 22 people in September 2023.

155.    % of dwellings failing to meet the decent homes standard – Data submitted through the Local Authority Housing Statistics Return shows that at the end of 2023-24, 140 council properties were considered to be non-decent which is 1.9% of council housing stock. The 2023-24 figure is a slight increase from 1.6% of properties at the end of 2022-23 but is below the regional and national benchmarks for that year (2.4% properties in Yorkshire and the Humber and 8.4% in England). The latest benchmarking is due in November 2024.

 

156.    An increase in the number of non-decent properties for York was anticipated following the commissioning of a Full Stock Condition Survey to be carried out on HRA housing stock during 2024. The extensive survey provides a range of information on the internal, external and communal safety and condition of each property. By the end of 2023-24, 36% of stock had been inspected and whilst strengthening the information held on housing, has surfaced further properties requiring work. Survey information received has highlighted in particular an increase in the number of properties with a category 1 hazard which causes an instant fail against the decent homes criteria, these are being responded to by the service as a matter of priority.

 

157.    % of repairs completed on first visit – The percentage of repairs completed on the first visit was 86.6% in Q2 2024-25, which is the highest figure seen for a number of years.

 

158.    Number of void properties – Numbers of standard void properties reduced throughout 2023-24 from 73 at the start of the year to 52 at the end of March 2024. Despite 2024-25 starting with 62 voids in April, the latest data for September 2024 shows a reduction to 48 properties. There was only 1 major works voids at the end of September 2024 which is a large decrease on the 6 major works voids in September 2023.

 

159.    % of tenants satisfied that their landlord provides a home that is well maintained – In 2023-24 in York, 64% of tenants were satisfied that the landlord provides a well maintained home. There are no national benchmarking figures available, as yet, however Leeds have released their results and they have a 67% satisfaction rate. Data for 2024-25 will be available in February 2025.

 

 

 

 

Performance - Sustainability: Cutting carbon, enhancing the environment for our future

 

160.    Percentage of household waste sent for reuse, recycling or composting – The latest provisional data for the amount of household waste sent for reuse, recycling or composting was 44.8% within Q1 2024-25, which is a decrease from 46.4% during Q1 2023-24. The figures are broadly similar for total household waste collected (246.2kg per household from the same time last year (246.7kg)), reuse, recycling or composting waste per household (110kg from 111kg in 2023-24) and residual (approx. non-recycling) household waste has remained at 136kg per household. The increase in the number of households accounts for the decrease in the overall recycling figures.

 

161.    Level of CO2 emissions across the city and from council buildings and operations – The City continues its journey to net zero by 2030 with Carbon emissions across the city reducing over recent years, from 936 kilotonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent in 2018, to 816 in 2020. Emissions from councils buildings and operations have also been reducing, from 3,658 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent in 2020-21 to 3,462 in 2022-23. Data for 2021 and 2023-24 will be available in November 2024.

 

162.    % of Talkabout panel satisfied with their local area as a place to live - The first biannual resident satisfaction survey taken by the Talkabout panel took place during Q1 2024-25. Results from the Q1 2024-25 Talkabout survey showed that 85% of the panel were satisfied with York as a place to live, up 5% from the previous survey. 81% were satisfied with their local area, consistent with results from Q3 2023-24. A slight decline in satisfaction with the local area can be seen over recent years but York continues to perform well against the latest national figure of 76% (Community Life Survey 2021-22). Data for Q3 2024-25 will be available in January 2025.

 

163.    % of Talkabout panel who give unpaid help to any group, club or organisation - Results from the Q1 2024-25 Talkabout survey found that 64% of panellists had given unpaid help to any group, club or organisation within the last 12 months. This is a slight increase from Q3 2023-24 (60%), and higher than the latest national figure of 55% taken from the government's Community Life Survey 2021-22. Data for Q3 2024-25 will be available in January 2025.

 

 

164.    Number of trees planted (CYC) – During 2023-24, CYC planted 40 standard trees in the city’s parks and on highways. In addition, 1,200 trees (whips) were planted by the council’s ‘York Green Streets’ project, fully funded by a grant from White Rose Forest (secured in February 2024) including three years aftercare to support successful establishment. This forms part of the Council Plan 2023-2028 commitment to support biodiversity and nature by planting 4,000 new trees. The YGS project team is itself 100% externally funded by a £150,000 Forestry Commission grant to 31 March 2025. A further £40,000 has been secured from DEFRA to plant two new micro-woods in York’s urban area in the 2024-25 planting season in Holgate and Clifton Without wards. 

 

165.    Full year data for 2024-25 will not be available until May 2025, but numbers are likely to be comparable to last year as York Green Streets planted c1,800 trees (whips and standards) in April 2024.

 

166.    % of Talkabout panel who think that the council are doing well at improving green spaces - The results for Q1 2024-25 showed that 37% of respondents agreed the Council and its partners are doing well at improving green spaces, consistent with results from Q3 2023-24. Data for Q3 2024-25 will be available in January 2025.

 

Performance - How the council will operate

 

167.    FOI and EIR – % of requests responded to in-time (YTD) – 98% of requests were responded to in-time during the year up to the end of September 2024 which is the highest figure seen for a number of years.

 

168.    % of 4Cs complaints responded to in-time – In 2023-24, there had been a large decrease in the number of corporate complaints received compared to 2022-23 (1,310 in 2023-24 compared to 1,866 in 2022-23). This decrease has continued into 2024-25 with 554 corporate complaints received in the first half on 2024-25 (compared to 848 in the first half of 2023-24). The percentage of corporate complaints responded to in time during Q2 2024-25 was 73.7% which is a large increase from 51.8% in Q1 2024-25.

 

169.    % of the Talkabout panel reporting an excellent, good, satisfactory or poor experience when they last contacted the council about a service – The results for this indicator for Q1 2024-25 show that the majority of the panel report having a ‘good’ (29%) or ‘satisfactory’ (37%) experience when they last contacted the Council, with 11% reporting an ‘excellent’ experience and 23% reporting a ‘poor’ experience. Data for Q3 2024-25 will be available in January 2025.

 

170.    Average sickness days per full time equivalent (FTE) employee – At the end of August 2024, the average number of sickness days per FTE (rolling 12 months) had increased slightly to 11.6 days from 11.1 in August 2023. Recently released benchmarks show that the CIPD public sector benchmark is 10.6 days per FTE, putting us in line with national trends.

 

171.    York Customer Centre average speed of answer – Phones were answered, on average, in 1 minute and 5 seconds during Q2 2024-25 by the York Customer Centre. This is slightly higher than previous quarters but the September figure was 31 seconds showing that the speed of answer is going in the right direction.

 

Consultation Analysis

 

172.    Not applicable


Options Analysis and Evidential Basis

 

173.    Not applicable


Organisational Impact and Implications

 

174.    The recommendations in the report potentially have implications across several areas.  However, at this stage

 

·                    Financial implications are contained throughout the main body of the report.  The actions and recommendations contained in this report should ensure the continued financial stability and resilience of the Council both in the current year and in future years.

·                    Human Resources (HR), there are no direct implications related to the recommendations.

·                    Legal The Council is under a statutory obligation to set a balanced budget on an annual basis. Under the Local Government Act 2003 it is required to monitor its budget during the financial year and take remedial action to address overspending and/or shortfalls of income.

·                    Procurement, there are no specific procurement implications to this report.

·                    Health and Wellbeing, there are no direct implications related to the recommendations.

·                    Environment and Climate action, there are no direct implications related to the recommendations.

·                    Affordability, there are no direct implications related to the recommendations.

·                    Equalities and Human Rights, there are no direct implications related to the recommendations.

·                    Data Protection and Privacy, there are no implications related to the recommendations.

·                    Communications, there are no direct implications related to the recommendations.

·                    Economy, there are no direct implications related to the recommendations.


Risks and Mitigations

 

175.    An assessment of risks is completed as part of the annual budget setting exercise.  These risks are managed effectively through regular reporting and corrective action being taken where necessary and appropriate.

 

176.    The current financial position represents a significant risk to the Council's financial viability and therefore to ongoing service delivery.  It is important to ensure that the mitigations and decisions outlined in this paper are delivered and that the overspend is reduced.

 

Wards Impacted

 

177.    All.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contact details

 

For further information please contact the authors of this report.

 

 

 

Author

 

Name:

Debbie Mitchell

Job Title:

Chief Finance Officer

Service Area:

Finance

Telephone:

Ext 4161

Report approved:

Yes

Date:

5 November 2024


Co-author

 

Name:

Ian Cunningham

Job Title:

Head of Business Intelligence

Service Area:

Governance

Telephone:

Ext 5749

Report approved:

Yes

Date:

5 November 2024



Annexes

 

Annex 1: Q2 Performance Tables - City Outcomes and Council Delivery Indicators 2023-2027

 

Annex 2: Council Plan Monitor